WEALTHCO. ASSET MANAGEMENT
THIRD QUARTER 2019
Catchy headlines got you sidelined?
2019 has not been short of catchy headlines. Negative interest rates, QE infinity, trade wars, real wars, de-globalization, recession predictions, impeachments and endless other Trump tweets have kept investors entertained while their portfolios grew steadily over the first nine months of the year. Public markets have done well, with the S&P 500 sitting near the 3,000 -level again; and bond yields falling to the lowest levels we’ve seen in years. So far, investors have responded to increasing risks in public markets by reaching for yield and safe-haven assets. This shift has led to rich valuations in defensive sectors like REITs, Utilities and Gold; forcing some asset managers to the sidelines.
We’re not sitting on the sidelines. We continue to see strong deal flow in private markets: in just the past three months we have added new holdings in the Canadian mortgage lending sector, the private credit market, and a technology private equity investment.
Third Quarter Highlights
Our public equities fund generated strong returns year-to-date (+12%), with Canadian large-cap stocks leading the way (+18%), followed by US mid-caps (+17%).
Falling yields and tighter credit spreads generated strong returns in fixed income year-to-date too (+4%). We continue to hold mostly higher quality investment grade credits with shorter duration.
We made our first investment in the CMLS Mortgage Fund in September. With $22 billion of mortgages under administration, CMLS is one of Canada's largest independently owned mortgage services companies. The fund invests in mortgages on single family homes and commercial real estate across Canada and has generated a 6.4% return since inception. CMLS gives us access to broader deal-flow in the Canadian mortgage market and complements our existing mortgage holdings.
Three mortgages in the U.S. were paid out early over the summer. The proceeds were mostly reinvested in mortgages on income-generating properties, including an industrial business park in Hamilton, ON, and a multifamily residential property in midtown Toronto, ON.
In addition to mortgage investments, we extended a secured loan to a private real estate trust in Q3. The trust currently holds 17 properties across North America.
We revalued our Calgary real estate holdings In Q3, with mixed results. The Britannia Block LP was revalued lower due to poor market fundamentals, time slippage, and cost overruns; however, the losses were partially offset by net unrealized gains on our 17th Avenue SW and US real estate holdings.
We made our second investment with iNovia in Q3. Recall, iNovia is a technology private equity manager focused on growth stage companies in the Information Communications Technology sector (see Q1 2019 commentary).
Sitting on the sidelines can be a costly strategy
We read the headlines too, but we try not to get caught up in them. We believe in sticking to your long-term asset allocation and actively managing portfolios; not moving to the sidelines because of a tweet. Further, consistent with our diversification philosophy, we recommend always having a meaningful exposure to the public equity and fixed income markets, supplemented with a significant allocation to alternative assets. Our clients have roughly a 45% allocation to alternative assets, which we expect to remain fairly constant over time. As for public markets, we remain fully invested because sitting on the sidelines can be a very costly strategy. In fact, JP Morgan recently calculated that over the past 20 years, if you missed the 10 best days in the market your returns would be 64% lower than if you were fully invested throughout.
The results speak for themselves.
SLEEP BETTER AT NIGHT
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WealthCo is a corporate group that includes, WealthCo Planning Services Inc. and WealthCo Risk Management Inc. and WealthCo Asset Management Inc. Investment Management services are provided under WealthCo Asset Management. That firm is registered as an Exempt Market Dealer in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Ontario. It holds a Portfolio Manager license in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba and Saskatchewan and an Investment Fund License in the province of Alberta. The information in this website is directed to individuals registered in those provinces. The information provided here is for general information purposes and should not be construed as providing advice. WealthCo has not independently verified any information set out herein. Any opinions set out herein are subject to change and WealthCo does not undertake to notify the reader of such changes.